Risk Factors & Warning Signs

Comprehensive reference for suicide risk factors and warning signs based on empirical research and clinical consensus.

IS PATH WARM? Warning Signs

American Association of Suicidology consensus warning signs (Rudd et al., 2006)

I

IdeationAcute indicator

Talking or writing about death, dying, or suicide

S

Substance Abuse

Increased or excessive alcohol/drug use

P

Purposelessness

No reason for living; no sense of purpose in life

A

AnxietyAcute indicator

Anxiety, agitation, unable to sleep or sleeping all the time

T

TrappedAcute indicator

Feeling trapped—like there is no way out

H

HopelessnessAcute indicator

Hopelessness about the future

W

Withdrawal

Withdrawing from friends, family, and society

A

AngerAcute indicator

Rage, uncontrolled anger, seeking revenge

R

Recklessness

Acting recklessly without thinking of consequences

M

Mood ChangesAcute indicator

Dramatic mood changes

Chronic (Baseline) Risk Factors

Enduring predispositions that elevate baseline suicide risk over time

Historical

  • • Previous suicide attempt(s)
  • • Previous psychiatric hospitalization
  • • History of non-suicidal self-injury
  • • Family history of suicide
  • • History of childhood abuse/neglect
  • • Trauma history / PTSD

Clinical

  • • Chronic mental illness
  • • Personality disorder (esp. BPD)
  • • Substance use disorder
  • • Chronic physical illness/pain
  • • Traumatic brain injury
  • • Sleep disorders

Demographic/Social

  • • Male gender
  • • Older age (65+)
  • • LGBTQ+ identity (due to minority stress)
  • • Military/veteran status
  • • Social isolation
  • • Access to lethal means

Acute Risk Factors

Time-limited factors that acutely elevate risk when interacting with baseline vulnerabilities

Suicidal Symptoms

  • • Current suicidal ideation
  • • Suicidal plan
  • • Suicidal intent
  • • Preparatory behavior
  • • Recent attempt (<90 days)
  • • Rehearsal behavior

Psychiatric State

  • • Severe hopelessness
  • • Severe agitation
  • • Severe anxiety/panic
  • • Severe insomnia
  • • Severe anhedonia
  • • Command hallucinations
  • • Acute intoxication

Situational

  • • Recent significant loss
  • • Acute shame/humiliation
  • • Recent discharge from hospital
  • • Discontinuation of medication
  • • Anniversary of loss
  • • Exposure to suicide

Interpersonal Theory Constructs (Joiner, 2005)

Key psychological states that, when co-occurring, indicate elevated risk

Perceived Burdensomeness

Belief that one's existence is a burden to family, friends, or society. “Everyone would be better off without me.”

Thwarted Belongingness

Experience of being alienated, disconnected, not belonging to a valued group. Social isolation and loneliness.

Acquired Capability

Reduced fear of death and elevated physical pain tolerance, often from exposure to painful/provocative events (self-harm, violence, accidents).

Protective Factors

Factors that may reduce suicide risk (but do not “rule out” risk)

Strong therapeutic alliance
Social support network
Reasons for living
Responsibility to children
Religious/spiritual beliefs
Life satisfaction
Effective coping skills
Problem-solving ability
Emotion regulation skills
Fear of death
Help-seeking behavior
Treatment engagement
Hope for the future
Sense of purpose
Restricted access to means
Stable housing/employment

Important: Protective factors should contextualize risk but never override the presence of acute risk factors. Do not use protective factors to dismiss or minimize expressed suicidality.

References

Rudd, M. D., et al. (2006). Warning Signs for Suicide: Theory, Research, and Clinical Applications. Suicide and Life-Threatening Behavior, 36(3), 255-262.

Rudd, M. D. (2006). Fluid Vulnerability Theory: A Cognitive Approach to Understanding the Process of Acute and Chronic Suicide Risk. In T. E. Ellis (Ed.), Cognition and Suicide (pp. 355-368). APA.

Joiner, T. E. (2005). Why People Die by Suicide. Harvard University Press.

Van Orden, K. A., et al. (2010). The Interpersonal Theory of Suicide. Psychological Review, 117(2), 575-600.